2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Army at Tulsa
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
Chapman Stadium
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- 0.2
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 8.8
- Playoff prob.
- 5%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Army
56%
Tulsa
44%
Tulsa 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 1.4
Army is the model's favorite at 56%. Tulsa has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Army offense
27 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Tulsa offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 12:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No