2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Army at Tulsa
Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Chapman Stadium
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Army
80%
Tulsa
20%
Tulsa 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 10.8
Army is the model's favorite at 80%. Tulsa has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Army offense
27 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Tulsa offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 22, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No