2026 Week 5
Army at Louisiana Tech
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Joe Aillet Stadium
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 0.2
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -8.2
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Army
66%
Louisiana Tech
34%
Louisiana Tech 90% CI: 26% – 43% Δ rating 8.4
Army is the model's favorite at 66%. Louisiana Tech has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.1 rating points baked in for Louisiana Tech — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Army offense
28 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Louisiana Tech offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
70°F
Precipitation
37%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Joe Aillet Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No