2026 Week 5
Army at Louisiana Tech
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Joe Aillet Stadium
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.3
- National rank
- 77
- Proj. wins
- 1.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Army
46%
Louisiana Tech
54%
Louisiana Tech 90% CI: 45% – 63% Δ rating 2.1
Louisiana Tech is the model's favorite at 54%. Army has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Louisiana Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Army offense
28 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Louisiana Tech offense
34 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Joe Aillet Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No