2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Army at Memphis
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Memphis
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.6
- National rank
- 39
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Army
26%
Memphis
74%
Memphis 90% CI: 66% – 80% Δ rating 6.8
Memphis is the model's favorite at 74%. Army has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Memphis — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Army offense
25 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Memphis offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No