2026 Week 2 · Conference game
South Florida at Army
Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Michie Stadium
South Florida
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.6
- National rank
- 29
- Proj. wins
- 8.9
- Playoff prob.
- 11%
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.8
- National rank
- 74
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
South Florida
77%
Army
23%
Army 90% CI: 17% – 30% Δ rating 10.8
South Florida is the model's favorite at 77%. Army has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Army — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Florida offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Army offense
25 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 11, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Michie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No