2026 Week 15 · Conference game · Neutral site
Navy at Army
Saturday, December 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
MetLife Stadium
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 76
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Army
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-1
- Rating
- 0.2
- National rank
- 68
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
42%
Army
58%
Army 90% CI: 48% – 67% Δ rating 2.5
Army is the model's favorite at 58%. Navy has a 42% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Navy offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Army offense
27 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, December 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- MetLife Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- Yes