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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Army at Rice

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST

Rice Stadium

Army
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
0.8
National rank
74
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Rice
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-14.8
National rank
120
Proj. wins
2.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Army
80%
Rice
20%
Rice 90% CI: 14% – 26% Δ rating 15.6

Army is the model's favorite at 80%. Rice has a 20% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Rice — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Army offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Rice offense
32 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Venue
Rice Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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