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2026 Week 3 FINAL

East Carolina at Old Dominion

Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC

S.B. Ballard Stadium

20
East Carolina
Final
17
Old Dominion
Team 1234 T
East Carolina 7373 20
Old Dominion 01700 17

GIE pre-game call: Old Dominion at 63%. Miss.

Recaps

East Carolina
American Athletic
Record
1-2
Rating
-5.6
National rank
88
Proj. wins
5.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
Record
1-2
Rating
-7.0
National rank
97
Proj. wins
5.0
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

East Carolina
37%
Old Dominion
63%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 54% – 72% Δ rating 1.4

Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 63%. East Carolina has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
Venue
S.B. Ballard Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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