2026 Week 3
East Carolina at Old Dominion
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
S.B. Ballard Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.9
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
39%
Old Dominion
61%
Old Dominion 90% CI: 52% – 70% Δ rating 2.1
Old Dominion is the model's favorite at 61%. East Carolina has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Old Dominion offense
32 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 10:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- S.B. Ballard Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No