2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Rice at East Carolina
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Rice
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -14.8
- National rank
- 120
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Rice
4%
East Carolina
96%
East Carolina 90% CI: 95% – 97% Δ rating 22.8
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 96%. Rice has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Rice offense
28 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
East Carolina offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No