2026 Week 7 · Conference game
East Carolina at UAB
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Protective Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -5.6
- National rank
- 88
- Proj. wins
- 5.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -17.0
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 4.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
70%
UAB
30%
UAB 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 11.4
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 70%. UAB has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No