2026 Week 7 · Conference game
East Carolina at UAB
Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Protective Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -15.8
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
92%
UAB
8%
UAB 90% CI: 6% – 12% Δ rating 23.8
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 92%. UAB has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Wednesday, October 14, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No