4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 1 FINAL

East Carolina at Alabama

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Bryant-Denny Stadium

10
East Carolina
Final
48
Alabama
Team 1234 T
East Carolina 0730 10
Alabama 1028010 48

GIE pre-game call: Alabama at 98%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

East Carolina
American Athletic
Record
1-2
Rating
-5.6
National rank
88
Proj. wins
5.3
Playoff prob.
0%
Alabama
SEC
Record
3-0
Rating
19.5
National rank
11
Proj. wins
8.5
Playoff prob.
54%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

East Carolina
2%
Alabama
98%
Alabama 90% CI: 97% – 99% Δ rating 25.1

Alabama is the model's favorite at 98%. East Carolina has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.5 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Bryant-Denny Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home