Alabama: 2026 Week 12 recap

Alabama sits at No. 8 overall after a dominant 31–13 road win over LSU in Week 10, climbing 1.8 rating points to 22.7. The Crimson Tide are 7–2 and tracking toward nearly 9.6 expected wins—a projection that underscores their tournament credentials. The red-zone efficiency tells part of the story: converting just 18.5% of scoring opportunities means Alabama won a statement win despite leaving points on the field. They're heavily favored for the playoff (96.6% probability), though conference title odds remain slim at 6.6%. Next up: a neutral-site showdown against Vanderbilt in Week 11, a chance to pad a résumé that's already looking tournament-bound.