Alabama: 2026 Week 11 recap

Alabama sits at No. 7 with a 6–2 record and a GIE rating of 20.9, holding steady from last week. The Crimson Tide beat Texas A&M 31–20 in Week 8, but efficiency remains uneven: a red-zone TD rate of just 18.5% and a third-down conversion rate of 37.1% suggest Alabama is leaving points on the field despite late-game execution that grades favorably at 4.29. The model projects 8.7 expected wins and a 46% playoff probability, meaningful but not comfortable. Alabama travels to LSU this week in what amounts to a conference-title play-in; the path to the postseason tightens considerably with another loss.