Red Wolves · Sun Belt
Head coach Butch Jones Year 6 with Arkansas State
No remaining game changes Arkansas State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at Memphis American Athletic | Loss, 24-42 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs West Georgia Non-FBS | Win, 52-7 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 20 | at TCU Big 12 | Loss, 7-31 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Kennesaw State Conference USA | Win, 17-14 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | at Louisiana Sun Belt | Loss, 20-23 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 8 | vs South Alabama Sun Belt | Loss, 49-56 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Southern Miss Sun Belt | Win, 23-13 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Georgia State Sun Belt | Win, 38-32 Final |
| Wk 9 | Bye | |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs UL Monroe Sun Belt | Loss, 17-19 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Coastal Carolina Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Louisiana Tech Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Troy Sun Belt | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
34 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.6 rating
31 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Shakai WoodsDT From Middle Tennessee | Middle Tennessee | 118 |
| Five HamiltonS From Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | 71 |
| Joshua BurrellTE From Furman | Furman | 58 |
| Noah FloresCB From Utah State | Utah State | 55 |
| Tyeland ColemanDT From Florida State | Florida State | 20 |
| Sultan BadmusDE From Temple | Temple | 18 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
