2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Centennial Bank Stadium
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 3-1
- Rating
- -19.6
- National rank
- 128
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-2
- Rating
- -9.5
- National rank
- 107
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
15%
Arkansas State
85%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 80% – 89% Δ rating 10.1
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 85%. Georgia State has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.0 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No