2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Georgia State at Arkansas State
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Centennial Bank Stadium
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -24.5
- National rank
- 133
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Arkansas State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.8
- National rank
- 100
- Proj. wins
- 0.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia State
10%
Arkansas State
90%
Arkansas State 90% CI: 87% – 93% Δ rating 15.7
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 90%. Georgia State has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.3 rating points baked in for Arkansas State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas State offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Centennial Bank Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No