Bearcats · Big 12
Head coach Scott Satterfield Year 4 with Cincinnati
Year-4 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.65 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Cincinnati's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs Boston College ACC | Win, 34-15 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Western Carolina Non-FBS | Win, 62-10 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | vs Miami (OH) Mid-American | Win, 35-31 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Kansas State Big 12 | Win, 31-26 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 4 | at Arizona Big 12 | Loss, 7-34 Final |
| Wk 6 | Bye | |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at West Virginia Big 12 | Loss, 42-45 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | vs Texas Tech Big 12 | Win, 37-24 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Utah Big 12 | Loss, 25-49 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at Houston Big 12 | Loss, 24-31 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | at Iowa State Big 12 | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | vs Colorado Big 12 | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at BYU Big 12 | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -4.9 rating drop and a -19.4pp shift in playoff probability if Cincinnati loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
33 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+2.1 rating
22 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| MJ CannonS From Bowling Green | Bowling Green | 156 |
| JC French IVQB From Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | 134 |
| Jasper BeelerS From Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 130 |
| D'Angelo HutchinsonS From Louisville | Louisville | 126 |
| Zylan PerryRB From Louisiana | Louisiana | 110 |
| Ty GoodwillS From South Alabama | South Alabama | 105 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
