2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Colorado at Cincinnati
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Nippert Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -1.2
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 42
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
19%
Cincinnati
81%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 75% – 86% Δ rating 9.2
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 81%. Colorado has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No