2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Colorado at Cincinnati
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Nippert Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -8.3
- National rank
- 96
- Proj. wins
- 3.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
13%
Cincinnati
87%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 12.8
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 87%. Colorado has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No