2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Cincinnati at West Virginia
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Milan Puskar Stadium
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 42
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
West Virginia
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 61
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 19%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Cincinnati
48%
West Virginia
52%
West Virginia 90% CI: 42% – 61% Δ rating 4.2
West Virginia is the model's favorite at 52%. Cincinnati has a 48% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.7 rating points baked in for West Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Cincinnati offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
West Virginia offense
35 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Milan Puskar Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No