2026 Week 3
Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Nippert Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
22%
Cincinnati
78%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 71% – 84% Δ rating 7.9
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 78%. Miami (OH) has a 22% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No