2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Utah at Cincinnati
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Nippert Stadium
Utah
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 19
- Proj. wins
- 8.4
- Playoff prob.
- 38%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 8.0
- National rank
- 42
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Utah
70%
Cincinnati
30%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 23% – 39% Δ rating 9.0
Utah is the model's favorite at 70%. Cincinnati has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Utah offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No