49ers · American Athletic
Head coach Tim Albin Year 2 with Charlotte
Year-2 HCs (2015-2024) averaged +0.09 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Charlotte's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | vs The Citadel Non-FBS | Loss, 41-43 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Ole Miss SEC | Loss, 9-41 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at App State Sun Belt | Loss, 21-26 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Louisiana Sun Belt | Loss, 7-34 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Memphis American Athletic | Loss, 8-59 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at North Texas American Athletic | Loss, 10-50 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at Temple American Athletic | Win, 38-31 Final |
| Wk 8 | Bye | |
| Wk 9 Oct 30 | vs Tulane American Athletic | Loss, 31-38 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at UAB American Athletic | Loss, 12-23 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs East Carolina American Athletic | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Tulsa American Athletic | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Navy American Athletic | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 6.3 rating drop and a 25.1pp shift in playoff probability if Charlotte loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=1 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
49 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−0.7 rating
19 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Jaden BarnesWR From App State | App State | 111 |
| Cam PedroWR From Southeast Missouri State | Southeast Missouri State | 76 |
| Logan MauldinTE From McNeese | McNeese | 67 |
| Zyheem CollickWR From Bryant | Bryant | 63 |
| Lane WadleTE From Georgia State | Georgia State | 36 |
| Khamani AlexanderRB From App State | App State | 9 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
