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2026 Week 4

Louisiana at Charlotte

Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT

Jerry Richardson Stadium

Louisiana
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-10.1
National rank
105
Proj. wins
1.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Charlotte
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-26.7
National rank
134
Proj. wins
1.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisiana
88%
Charlotte
12%
Charlotte 90% CI: 8% – 16% Δ rating 16.6

Louisiana is the model's favorite at 88%. Charlotte has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Louisiana offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Charlotte offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, September 25, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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