2026 Week 4
Louisiana at Charlotte
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Louisiana
Sun Belt
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- -7.2
- National rank
- 99
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -24.1
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 3.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Louisiana
91%
Charlotte
9%
Charlotte 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 16.9
Louisiana is the model's favorite at 91%. Charlotte has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.4 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Louisiana offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Charlotte offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
61°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 10:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Jerry Richardson Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No