2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Charlotte at North Texas
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
DATCU Stadium
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -24.1
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 3.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 1-2
- Rating
- -9.2
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 5.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Charlotte
11%
North Texas
89%
North Texas 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 14.9
North Texas is the model's favorite at 89%. Charlotte has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Charlotte offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
60°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
8 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No