2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Charlotte at North Texas
Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
DATCU Stadium
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.7
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 1.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 13.8
- National rank
- 22
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Charlotte
1%
North Texas
99%
North Texas 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 40.5
North Texas is the model's favorite at 99%. Charlotte has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Charlotte offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 9, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No