2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Charlotte at Tulsa
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
Chapman Stadium
Charlotte
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.7
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 1.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.0
- National rank
- 104
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Charlotte
12%
Tulsa
88%
Tulsa 90% CI: 84% – 92% Δ rating 16.7
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 88%. Charlotte has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.5 rating points baked in for Tulsa — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Charlotte offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tulsa offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 20, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- Chapman Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No