Oregon State: 2026 Week 11 recap

Oregon State sits at No. 50 with a 5–3 record, holding steady at a 6.6 rating after last week's 38–22 loss at Fresno State. The Beavers haven't gained ground in GIE's assessment, a reflection of offensive inconsistency—their red-zone efficiency sits at just 19%, a recurring weakness that compounds missed opportunities downfield. Third-down conversions (37%) and fourth-down aggression (30%) suggest a team playing not to lose rather than to dominate. With a playoff probability essentially at zero and conference-title odds at 0.18%, Oregon State faces Texas State at home in Week 10 as a chance to stabilize rather than a springboard. GIE projects them to win roughly 6.6 games this season, leaving little margin for error in the Pac-12 stretch run.