Navy: 2026 Week 3 recap

Navy sits at 64th overall with a 1-0 record after dismantling Towson 42–15 in Week 1, though GIE's rating hasn't budged from 1.2—a sign the model views that result as expected rather than impressive. The offense showed some teeth early, but the red-zone TD rate of 22% hints at efficiency gaps when drives stall near the goal line; third-down conversion of 47% suggests Navy is operating within a tight margin. Up next is a road trip to Florida Atlantic in Week 2, a matchup that will test whether last week's performance was a floor or a genuine upward trend. GIE projects Navy to win 7.8 games this season, with a 9% chance at the AAC crown—playoff odds remain under 2%.