Recap Miami (OH)
Miami (OH): 2026 Week 11 recap
At a glance as of
- Record
- 5–3
- GIE rank
- #92of 138 rated
- Rating
- −4.2 FBS avg 0.6
- Projected wins
- 6.9
Miami (OH) sits at 5–3 with a rating of −4.2, holding steady at rank 92 after a narrow road win over Central Michigan two weeks back. That 28–27 victory showcased the RedHawks' ability to execute in tight moments—late-game leverage performance stands at 8.75—but the underlying metrics reveal persistent weaknesses. A red-zone TD rate of only 15% and third-down conversion rate of 31% explain why the model projects 6.9 expected wins; Miami's converting opportunities at a frustratingly low clip. Buffalo comes to Oxford this week as a mid-tier MAC opponent, and while a win would inch the RedHawks closer to bowl eligibility, GIE assigns near-zero probability to a conference championship run. Efficiency gains in the passing game or red-zone execution would be needed to shift the trajectory.