Miami (OH) sits at 2–3 with a GIE rating of –4.3, holding steady at rank 88 after a one-point loss to Bowling Green in Week 5. The RedHawks' offensive efficiency remains the core problem: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 15%, and third-down conversion sits at 31%—both significant drags on scoring potential. Late-game execution (8.75 leverage performance) shows competence in tight moments, but they're not creating enough high-leverage situations to overcome early deficits. With an expected-win total of 5.2 and virtually no path to the MAC title, Miami (OH) heads to Massachusetts this week needing to string together wins against beatable competition to salvage the season.