Colorado: 2026 Week 11 recap

Colorado sits at 3–5 and ranked 93rd by GIE, holding a −4.3 rating after edging Kansas State 27–24 in Week 9. The model hasn't shifted its assessment since that win—the offense remains constrained, particularly in the red zone where Colorado converts just 14.5% of trips into touchdowns. Third-down conversion sits at 36.3%, a recurring weakness that compounds field-position trouble. The bright spot: late-game leverage performance registers at 3.41, suggesting the Buffaloes have managed close moments better than their overall talent level would predict. Expected wins hover at 4.1, meaning GIE sees minimal playoff or conference-title probability. Colorado heads to Arizona State in Week 10 needing to sustain that clutch-moment competence while fixing the efficiency problems that keep them trapped in the lower half of the Big 12.