Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 12 recap

Coastal Carolina sits at 3–6 with a rating of −8.2, up 2.1 points from last week following a modest correction off the back of recent film review. The Chants fell to Old Dominion 21–8 at home in Week 10, a result that underscores persistent offensive struggles: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 13.4%, meaning scoring opportunities routinely stall near the goal line. Third-down conversion efficiency of 32.3% compounds the problem, leaving drives stranded in predictable spots. GIE's model gives them zero playoff probability and expects around 3.7 total wins for the season. Coastal hosts Arkansas State this Saturday—a game that offers a chance to arrest the slide, though the rating gap suggests that won't be easy.