Chanticleers · Sun Belt
Head coach Ryan Beard Year 1 with Coastal Carolina
Year-1 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.19 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Coastal Carolina's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 5 | at West Virginia Big 12 | Loss, 24-31 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | vs Fordham Non-FBS | Win, 45-7 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at Delaware Conference USA | Loss, 14-22 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 24 | vs Liberty Conference USA | Loss, 17-34 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Georgia Southern Sun Belt | Loss, 24-31 Final |
| Wk 6 Oct 10 | at Marshall Sun Belt | Win, 27-21 Final |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | vs App State Sun Belt | Loss, 32-35 Final |
| Wk 8 | Bye | |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | at Georgia State Sun Belt | Win, 31-20 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | vs Old Dominion Sun Belt | Loss, 8-21 Final |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Arkansas State Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Louisiana Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | at James Madison Sun Belt | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a 10.4 rating drop and a 41.8pp shift in playoff probability if Coastal Carolina loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
23 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
+0.5 rating
40 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| DJ WesolakDT From Missouri State | Missouri State | 133 |
| Kente EdwardsRB From Lafayette | Lafayette | 106 |
| Mitchell ToneyDE From Missouri State | Missouri State | 97 |
| Tristian GardnerWR From Missouri State | Missouri State | 85 |
| Ahmad PooleDT From Missouri State | Missouri State | 70 |
| Clayton Coppock Jr.WR From Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | 65 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
