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2026 Week 4

Liberty at Coastal Carolina

Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Brooks Stadium (SC)

Liberty
Conference USA
Record
0-0
Rating
-9.0
National rank
102
Proj. wins
1.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.1
National rank
121
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Liberty
67%
Coastal Carolina
33%
Coastal Carolina 90% CI: 26% – 42% Δ rating 6.1

Liberty is the model's favorite at 67%. Coastal Carolina has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Liberty offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Coastal Carolina offense
40 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Thursday, September 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No

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