2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Georgia Southern
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -7.7
- National rank
- 102
- Proj. wins
- 3.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
- Record
- 1-3
- Rating
- -10.2
- National rank
- 109
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Georgia Southern
50%
Coastal Carolina
50%
Coastal Carolina 90% CI: 41% – 60% Δ rating 2.5
Coastal Carolina is the model's favorite at 50%. Georgia Southern has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific night-game value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Georgia Southern offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Coastal Carolina offense
43 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Drizzle
Temperature
57°F
Precipitation
19%
Wind
10 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Brooks Stadium (SC)
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No