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2026 Week 7 · Conference game

App State at Coastal Carolina

Friday, October 16, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Brooks Stadium (SC)

App State
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-11.4
National rank
111
Proj. wins
1.5
Playoff prob.
0%
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-15.1
National rank
121
Proj. wins
0.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

App State
60%
Coastal Carolina
40%
Coastal Carolina 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 3.7

App State is the model's favorite at 60%. Coastal Carolina has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for Coastal Carolina — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

App State offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Coastal Carolina offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, October 16, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Brooks Stadium (SC)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No

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