Coastal Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap

Coastal Carolina sits at 3–5 with a rating of −10.3, holding rank 109 overall. The Chants picked up a road win at Georgia State last week, 31–20, but the victory hasn't moved the needle on GIE's assessment—the rating remained flat week-over-week. What's telling beneath the surface: a third-down conversion rate of 32% and a red-zone touchdown rate of just 13% reveal an offense that struggles to sustain drives and finish in the end zone. The model projects 4.6 expected wins for the season, and playoff probability sits at zero. Coastal Carolina hosts Old Dominion this week looking to build on last week's result, though the efficiency gaps suggest narrow margins remain the norm.