Arizona: 2026 Week 11 recap

Arizona sits at 14th in GIE's rankings heading into Week 11, holding a 6-2 record but essentially flat from last week's rating assessment. The Wildcats' most recent outing—a 34-26 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 9—exposed a critical vulnerability: their red-zone touchdown rate of 12% means Arizona is leaving points on the field when it matters most. Third-down efficiency at 41% hasn't kept pace with Big 12 competition either. GIE projects 8.6 expected wins for the season, suggesting the model sees room for improvement despite the current win total. Arizona hosts TCU this week in what amounts to a must-execute moment if they're to climb back into contention; their late-game leverage performance (5.73) hints at competitiveness in tight spots, but conversion rates in high-leverage situations won't fix red-zone woes.