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Rutgers

Scarlet Knights · Big Ten

GIE rank
#118
of 138 FBS
Rating
1390
2026 Week 12
Record
2-7
2026 season
Proj record
3-9
12-game season

Head coach Greg Schiano Year 7 with Rutgers

Season projection

2026 W12 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
3.0
1.0 more win in 3 left
Win range (90%)
2 to 4
Final rank (90%)
#118 (106–127)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes Rutgers's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 3 vs Massachusetts Mid-American Loss, 21-37 Final
Wk 2 Sep 11 at Boston College ACC Loss, 21-28 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 vs USC Big Ten Loss, 35-42 Final
Wk 4 Sep 25 vs Howard Non-FBS Win, 58-7 Final
Wk 5 Oct 4 vs Indiana Big Ten Loss, 15-47 Final
Wk 6 Bye
Wk 7 Oct 17 at Maryland Big Ten Win, 37-30 Final
Wk 8 Oct 24 at Northwestern Big Ten Loss, 14-42 Final
Wk 9 Oct 31 vs Michigan Big Ten Loss, 21-28 Final
Wk 10 Nov 7 at Wisconsin Big Ten Loss, 10-31 Final
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Nebraska Big Ten Win probability: 7%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Penn State Big Ten Win probability: 7%
Wk 13 Nov 28 vs Michigan State Big Ten Win probability: 37%

Latest stories

  • Recap

    Rutgers: 2026 Week 12 recap

    Rutgers dropped 4.3 rating points after a 31-10 loss to Wisconsin in Week 10, sliding to 105th overall with a 2-7 record. The decline reflects persistent execution problems: a red-zone TD rate of just 14% and third-down conversion rate of…

  • Recap

    Rutgers: 2026 Week 11 recap

    Rutgers remains firmly outside the playoff picture at 2–6, with GIE holding them steady at a rating of –4.9 and rank 95 overall. Last week's 28–21 loss to Michigan at home exposed a persistent offensive problem: their red-zone touchdown…

  • Recap

    Rutgers: 2026 Week 7 recap

    Rutgers sits at 1–4 with a rating of –1.6, holding steady at rank 75 after absorbing a 47–15 home loss to Indiana last week. The margin was decisive, but the underlying numbers suggest deeper issues: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 14%…

Show 4 more Rutgers stories
  • Recap

    Rutgers: 2026 Week 3 recap

    Rutgers sits at No. 61 overall after an opening-week loss to Massachusetts at home, 37–21. The rating hasn't budged since that result, which GIE pegged as roughly expected for a team of this caliber—not a catastrophic collapse, but a…

  • Analysis

    Rutgers drops 52 ELO points this week

    Rutgers opened 2026 against Massachusetts and lost by 16 points at home, a result significant enough to cost the program 52 rating points—the kind of swing that signals the model's confidence in the gap between preseason expectations and…

  • Analysis

    Rutgers drops 52 ELO points this week

    Rutgers lost 52 ELO points this week—a sharper decline than the 37-21 home loss to Massachusetts might suggest on its own. The drop reflects both the result and the gap between what the preseason projection assumed and what the field…

  • Recap

    Rutgers: 2025 Week 16 recap

    Rutgers sits at No. 72 in GIE's ratings after a 5–7 season that included a narrow home loss to Penn State (36–40) in Week 14. The Scarlet Knights have been unable to string together consistent wins in Big Ten play, and their current…

In the news

Show 9 more headlines

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

Returning production · 2026

40 score

  • Quarterback 2% (3/4)
  • Offensive line 72% (18/25) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 63% (21/32)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 36% (25/39)
  • Secondary 21% (17/25)
  • Special teams 100% (8/8)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

+0.8 rating

20 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

Rutgers incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Malachi DavisDL From Toledo Toledo 172
J'Dan BurnettDL From Tulsa Tulsa 164
Ty MorrisLB From Rice Rice 129
Clay TheveninRB From Louisiana Tech Louisiana Tech 126
Rondo PorterDL From App State App State 107
Dylan LonerganQB From Boston College Boston College 82

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 41.4%
    77th — strong
  • Red-zone TD rate 14.3%
    45th — average
  • 4th-down aggression 48.9%
    93th — elite
  • Late & close 8.0 yds/play
    96th — elite

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.