2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Michigan at Rutgers
Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
SHI Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 12.4
- National rank
- 25
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.0
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
76%
Rutgers
24%
Rutgers 90% CI: 17% – 31% Δ rating 11.4
Michigan is the model's favorite at 76%. Rutgers has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
55 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 30, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No