2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Michigan at Rutgers
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
SHI Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 3-0
- Rating
- 15.1
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -2.4
- National rank
- 77
- Proj. wins
- 2.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
87%
Rutgers
13%
Rutgers 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 17.5
Michigan is the model's favorite at 87%. Rutgers has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
55 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No