Conference game
Michigan State at Rutgers
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Michigan State 64% Favorite
Rutgers 36% Underdog
Michigan State is the model's favorite at 64%. Rutgers has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=37 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan State offense
Higher fit 54 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup