2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Michigan State at Rutgers
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
SHI Stadium
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 2-1
- Rating
- 2.3
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-3
- Rating
- -2.4
- National rank
- 77
- Proj. wins
- 2.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
58%
Rutgers
42%
Rutgers 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 4.7
Michigan State is the model's favorite at 58%. Rutgers has a 42% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan State offense
54 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No