2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Michigan State at Rutgers
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
SHI Stadium
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.4
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.0
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan State
31%
Rutgers
69%
Rutgers 90% CI: 60% – 76% Δ rating 4.4
Rutgers is the model's favorite at 69%. Michigan State has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan State offense
54 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 11:00 PM CST
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No