2026 Week 3 · Conference game
USC at Rutgers
Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
SHI Stadium
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 16.9
- National rank
- 16
- Proj. wins
- 7.7
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.0
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
85%
Rutgers
15%
Rutgers 90% CI: 11% – 20% Δ rating 15.9
USC is the model's favorite at 85%. Rutgers has a 15% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
53 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, September 18, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No