2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Indiana at Rutgers
Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
SHI Stadium
Indiana
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 32.4
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 100%
Rutgers
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.0
- National rank
- 72
- Proj. wins
- 5.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Indiana
98%
Rutgers
2%
Rutgers 90% CI: 2% – 4% Δ rating 31.4
Indiana is the model's favorite at 98%. Rutgers has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Indiana offense
55 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Rutgers offense
30 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, October 2, 2026 · 11:00 PM CDT
- Venue
- SHI Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No