Ball State at Ohio State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ball State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 Ohio State Winner | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 |
GIE pre-game call: Ohio State at 100%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Ball State 0% Underdog
Ohio State 100% Favorite
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 100%. Ball State has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=64 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Ohio State recap Ohio State: 2026 Week 12 recap Ohio State enters Week 12 ranked 3rd but facing real trouble after a 41–28 home loss to Oregon last week. The rating drop of 4.6 points reflects the severity: GIE now projects a 0% playoff probability and 0% chance to win the Big Ten. The…
- Ball State recap Ball State: 2026 Week 12 recap Ball State remains firmly in the basement of the MAC at 130th overall with a 3–6 record, though GIE nudged the Cardinals up 0.6 rating points to –19.5 this week. That modest lift followed a heartbreaking one-point loss to Massachusetts—a…