4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 1 FINAL

Ball State at Ohio State

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC

Ohio Stadium

3
Ball State
Final
56
Ohio State
Team 1234 T
Ball State 0300 3
Ohio State 14141414 56

GIE pre-game call: Ohio State at 100%. Hit.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.

Ball State
Mid-American
Record
1-2
Rating
-24.3
National rank
136
Proj. wins
4.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Ohio State
Big Ten
Record
2-1
Rating
29.7
National rank
1
Proj. wins
6.6
Playoff prob.
14%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Ball State
0%
Ohio State
100%
Ohio State 90% CI: 100% – 100% Δ rating 54.0

Ohio State is the model's favorite at 100%. Ball State has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=66 games).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC
Venue
Ohio Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home