Rice: 2026 Week 11 recap

Rice remains anchored at 122nd overall following a 51-49 road loss to Florida Atlantic in Week 8, a defeat that underscores their offensive struggles in the moments that matter most. A red-zone TD rate of 21% explains much of the damage—the Owls are leaving points on the field when field position should be converting to touchdowns. At 1-7, Rice's expected-wins projection sits just below two, a reality check on a season that has offered little separation between the team's actual performance and its underlying fundamentals. GIE projects zero probability of conference or playoff advancement, and next week's trip to North Texas figures to present another test Rice isn't favored to pass.