Nevada: 2026 Week 12 recap

Nevada has cratered to a 3-6 record and a rating of −6.4, a sharp three-point drop following a 31-3 home loss to New Mexico last week. The Wolf Pack's offensive struggles are impossible to ignore: a 12% red-zone touchdown rate and 30% third-down conversion rate reveal an offense that can't capitalize when opportunities arise. GIE now projects Nevada to win just 4.7 games on the season, with playoff probability at zero. The defense couldn't slow New Mexico either, making this a two-way failure. Nevada faces Northern Illinois on the road this week—a chance to steady the ship against a MAC opponent, though the current trajectory suggests meaningful improvement will take more than one game.