Nebraska sits at No. 33 with a 1–0 record and a rating of 9.3 after a dominant 49–21 win over Ohio in Week 1. The Cornhuskers haven't budged in the model despite the convincing victory—a sign that GIE saw the result coming. The real concern lurking underneath: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 16% suggests Nebraska is leaving points on the field when opportunities matter most. Third-down conversion sits at 41%, which isn't helping matters. This week brings Bowling Green at home, a manageable test, but Nebraska will need to tighten up in the red zone and on third down if they want to climb the ratings. The model projects 5.7 expected wins for the season, a ceiling that demands efficiency where it counts.