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Missouri: 2026 Week 3 recap

September 7, 2026

Missouri sits at No. 19 after dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff 54–14 in Week 1, though the rating hasn't budged since—a sign that GIE views the blowout as exactly what was expected. The Tigers' red-zone efficiency is a concern: they're converting just 14% of trips into touchdowns, suggesting missed opportunities in the most critical moments. Third-down conversion sits at 43%, respectable but not elite, while late-game leverage performance (4.66) hints at competence when the game tightens. At 1–0, Missouri's expected win total of 7.3 implies the model sees a middle-of-the-pack SEC season ahead. Next up is Kansas on the road, a chance to prove the rating and open conference play on the right foot.

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