Louisiana: 2026 Week 12 recap

Louisiana climbed 1.3 rating points this week to 1.7, vaulting into the 66th rank after a two-point home win over South Alabama in Week 10. The Ragin' Cajuns are 6–3 and tracking toward eight expected wins on the season, though their path to the playoffs remains closed—the model gives them zero probability of postseason play. The numbers reveal why: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 12% and third-down conversions at 37% show an offense that stalls in critical moments. Late-game performance is a relative bright spot at 5.22, keeping games close when they matter. Next up is a road trip to UL Monroe on Friday, a chance to build on recent momentum before the season stretch run.