Georgia: 2026 Week 3 recap

Georgia enters Week 3 undefeated and ranked fourth overall, though the rating held flat week-to-week after the 63-3 demolition of Tennessee State. That lopsided result masks some operational concerns: red-zone efficiency at 21% suggests the Dawgs are leaving points on the field, and third-down conversion sits at 45%, which won't sustain against SEC competition. The model still projects an 82% playoff probability and expects roughly 8.8 wins on the season, but there's work to do in the trenches before hosting Western Kentucky on Saturday. This week shapes up as a tuning opportunity before the schedule tightens considerably.