BYU: 2026 Week 11 recap

BYU sits at 13th in GIE's rankings with a 7–1 record, though the model's rating held flat week-over-week—a signal that last week's 27–20 home win over Arizona State didn't move the needle much. The Cougars' red-zone efficiency, at just 16%, hints at why: they're leaving points on the field despite controlling games. A third-down conversion rate of 39% and late-game leverage performance of 5.34 suggest they're managing close moments competently, but inconsistency in critical situations is dragging their playoff odds down to 20%. BYU heads into a road matchup against Utah this week knowing a win could vault them further, but GIE projects 9.3 expected wins for the season—indicating the model sees tighter margins ahead.