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Analysis · September 7, 2026

Week 1 in Review: Big Games and Upsets

Massachusetts entered Week 1 with a 1% pregame win probability against Rutgers. The Minutemen left the field with a 37-21 victory, the most improbable result of an opening week that produced three outright upses. In raw terms, this was…

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Article · September 7, 2026

San José State: 2026 Week 3 recap

San José State sits at 121st overall with a 1–1 record after an opening-week road win at Eastern Michigan. GIE's rating hasn't budged since last week—they remain at –15.7—which suggests the road victory against a peer-level opponent…

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Article · September 7, 2026

San Diego State: 2026 Week 3 recap

San Diego State sits at 65th nationally with a 1–0 record after demolishing Portland State 53–20 in Week 1, though GIE's rating held steady at 0.7, suggesting the model views that margin as expected rather than transformative. The Aztecs'…

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Article · September 7, 2026

Sam Houston: 2026 Week 3 recap

Sam Houston sits at 0–1 after dropping a 24–21 road decision to Troy in Week 1, holding a rating of –26 and ranking 134th per GIE. The Bearkats haven't moved in the model's assessment week-to-week, suggesting the loss aligned with…

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Article · September 7, 2026

Sacramento State: 2026 Week 3 recap

Sacramento State sits at 1–1 after a dominant Week 1 shutout of Mississippi Valley State, but the Hornets haven't budged in GIE's ratings—holding steady at –23.4 and ranked 131st. That stagnation masks an uncomfortable truth: the blowout…

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