Boise State: 2026 Week 12 recap

Boise State sits at 26th overall after Week 10, riding an 8–1 record and a decisive 64–38 road win over Colorado State that bumped their rating up 2.9 points to 13.8. That offensive explosion masks some underlying efficiency concerns: their red-zone touchdown rate sits at just 16%, and third-down conversions hover around 42%, suggesting the Broncos are leaving scoring opportunities on the field even when they're rolling. GIE still projects them to win the Pac-12 outright and sees them as a near-lock for the playoff at 98%. Next up is Oregon State at home—a matchup where sustaining their recent momentum matters more than the margin. Late-game performance has been a strength at 5.55, so closing out games remains their most reliable weapon down the stretch.